Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

425 T 11 Std

10 % Chance

Volumen
$3,6 Mio.
Liquidität
$201.671,8
Endet
1. Jan. 2028
Preisverlauf

Beschreibung

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

So wird entschieden

Entscheidungsprozess

Nach Marktende beginnt eine Einspruchsfrist (3 Tage). Gibt es keinen Einspruch, werden die Gewinne automatisch verteilt.

Erstellt
19. Okt. 2026
Entscheidungsdatum
1. Jan. 2028