
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
10 % Chance
- Volumen
- $3,6 Mio.
- Liquidität
- $201.671,8
- Endet
- 1. Jan. 2028
Beschreibung
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
So wird entschieden
Entscheidungsprozess
Nach Marktende beginnt eine Einspruchsfrist (3 Tage). Gibt es keinen Einspruch, werden die Gewinne automatisch verteilt.
- Erstellt
- 19. Okt. 2026
- Entscheidungsdatum
- 1. Jan. 2028