Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
60d 13h
17% chance
- Volume
- $76.1M
- Liquidity
- $252K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Price history
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Jul 30, 2026
- Resolution date
- Jan 1, 2027