France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

425 d 6 h

9 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$19,5 mil
Liquidez
$10,1 mil
Termina
1 ene 2028
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
21 oct 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2028