¿Visitará la OIEA las instalaciones nucleares de Isfahán, Fordow o Natanz antes del 31 de diciembre?

¿Visitará la OIEA las instalaciones nucleares de Isfahán, Fordow o Natanz antes del 31 de diciembre?

60 d 1 h

14 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$153,5 mil
Liquidez
$17,6 mil
Termina
1 ene 2027
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
12 ago 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2027