US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

58 d 3 h

2 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$20,2 mil
Liquidez
$4,7 mil
Termina
1 ene 2027
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
18 oct 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2027