¿Reconoce EE. UU. a Reza Pahlavi como líder de Irán?

¿Reconoce EE. UU. a Reza Pahlavi como líder de Irán?

en 2026

60 d 7 h

3 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$672,2 mil
Liquidez
$33,4 mil
Termina
1 ene 2027
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
30 jul 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2027