Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

60 d 10 h

2 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$198,9 mil
Liquidez
$6,9 mil
Termina
1 ene 2027
Historial de precios

Descripción

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
18 oct 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2027