¿Anunciará Kamala Harris una candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

¿Anunciará Kamala Harris una candidatura presidencial antes de 2028?

422 d 15 h

60 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$6,2 mil
Liquidez
$1,3 mil
Termina
1 ene 2028
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
12 ago 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2028