Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?

Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?

60 d 11 h

2 % de probabilidad

Volumen
$9,4 mil
Liquidez
$6,6 mil
Termina
1 ene 2027
Historial de precios

Descripción

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cómo se resuelve

Proceso de resolución

Cuando termina el mercado empieza un periodo de impugnación de 3 días. Si nadie impugna, las recompensas se reparten automáticamente.

Creado
18 oct 2026
Fecha de resolución
1 ene 2027