
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- حجم
- $۱٫۵ میلیون
- پایان
- ۱۸ دی ۱۴۰۵
| گزینه | احتمال | خرید |
|---|---|---|
| ۵۳٪ | ||
| ۴۰٪ | ||
| ۴٪ | ||
| ۳٪ | ||
| <۱٪ | ||
| <۱٪ | ||
| <۱٪ |
توضیحات
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
نحوه حل
فرایند حل
پس از پایان بازار، دوره اعتراض ۳ روز آغاز میشود. اگر اعتراضی نباشد، پاداشها خودکار توزیع میشوند.
- ایجاد
- ۲۶ مهر ۱۴۰۵
- تاریخ حل
- ۱۸ دی ۱۴۰۵