France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

425 j 5 h

9 % de chances

Volume
$19,5 k
Liquidité
$10,1 k
Fin
1 janv. 2028
Historique des prix

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

Mode de résolution

Processus de résolution

À la fin du marché, une période de contestation de 3 jours commence. Sans contestation, les gains sont distribués automatiquement.

Créé
21 oct. 2026
Date de résolution
1 janv. 2028