Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

241 j 6 h

27 % de chances

Volume
$530,1 k
Liquidité
$51,3 k
Fin
1 juil. 2027
Historique des prix

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mode de résolution

Processus de résolution

À la fin du marché, une période de contestation de 3 jours commence. Sans contestation, les gains sont distribués automatiquement.

Créé
19 oct. 2026
Date de résolution
1 juil. 2027