La Chine envahira-t-elle Taïwan d'ici fin 2026 ?
2 % de chances
- Volume
- $45,4 M
- Liquidité
- $304,5 k
- Fin
- 1 janv. 2027
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mode de résolution
Processus de résolution
À la fin du marché, une période de contestation de 3 jours commence. Sans contestation, les gains sont distribués automatiquement.
- Créé
- 30 juil. 2026
- Date de résolution
- 1 janv. 2027