GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

88g 2h
Volume
$89,5K
Termina
29 gen 2027
Storico prezzi
<1%
<1%
<1%
2%
54%
43%
<0.5%0.5–1.0%1.0–1.5%1.5–2.0%2.0–2.5%>2.5%
Esiti
EsitoProbabilitàCompra
54%
43%
2%
<1%
<1%
<1%

Descrizione

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Come si risolve

Processo di risoluzione

Alla fine del mercato inizia un periodo di contestazione di 3 giorni. Se nessuno contesta, i premi vengono distribuiti automaticamente.

Creato
19 ott 2026
Data di risoluzione
29 gen 2027