Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

241g 6h

27% di probabilità

Volume
$530,1K
Liquidità
$51,3K
Termina
1 lug 2027
Storico prezzi

Descrizione

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Come si risolve

Processo di risoluzione

Alla fine del mercato inizia un periodo di contestazione di 3 giorni. Se nessuno contesta, i premi vengono distribuiti automaticamente.

Creato
19 ott 2026
Data di risoluzione
1 lug 2027