Plague pandemic in 2026?

Plague pandemic in 2026?

60g 11h

2% di probabilità

Volume
$512,2K
Liquidità
$64,7K
Termina
1 gen 2027
Storico prezzi

Descrizione

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Come si risolve

Processo di risoluzione

Alla fine del mercato inizia un periodo di contestazione di 3 giorni. Se nessuno contesta, i premi vengono distribuiti automaticamente.

Creato
18 ott 2026
Data di risoluzione
1 gen 2027