Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

60g 5h

4% di probabilità

Volume
$274,7K
Liquidità
$65,6K
Termina
1 gen 2027
Storico prezzi

Descrizione

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Come si risolve

Processo di risoluzione

Alla fine del mercato inizia un periodo di contestazione di 3 giorni. Se nessuno contesta, i premi vengono distribuiti automaticamente.

Creato
18 ott 2026
Data di risoluzione
1 gen 2027