
Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?
確率 4%
- 取引量
- $1.3万
- 流動性
- $1.4万
- 終了日
- 2027年1月1日
説明
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abiy Ahmed ceases to be Prime Minister of Ethiopia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abiy Ahmed's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abiy Ahmed and the government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
確定方法
確定までの流れ
マーケット終了後、3日の異議申立期間が始まります。異議がなければ報酬は自動で分配されます。
- 作成日
- 2026年10月18日
- 確定日
- 2027年1月1日