2026年のハンタウイルスパンデミック?

2026年のハンタウイルスパンデミック?

60日12時間

確率 2%

取引量
$1889.3万
流動性
$10.2万
終了日
2027年1月1日
価格履歴

説明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

確定方法

確定までの流れ

マーケット終了後、3日の異議申立期間が始まります。異議がなければ報酬は自動で分配されます。

作成日
2026年7月31日
確定日
2027年1月1日