How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 取引量
- $148.3万
- 終了日
- 2027年1月8日
| 結果 | 確率 | 購入 |
|---|---|---|
| 53% | ||
| 40% | ||
| 4% | ||
| 3% | ||
| <1% | ||
| <1% | ||
| <1% |
説明
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
確定方法
確定までの流れ
マーケット終了後、3日の異議申立期間が始まります。異議がなければ報酬は自動で分配されます。
- 作成日
- 2026年10月18日
- 確定日
- 2027年1月8日