
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
- 取引量
- $2万
- 終了日
- 2028年1月1日
| 結果 | 確率 | 購入 |
|---|---|---|
| 43% | ||
| 36% | ||
| 12% | ||
| 4% | ||
| 2% | ||
| 2% | ||
| 1% | ||
| <1% | ||
| <1% |
説明
This market will resolve according to which of the listed individuals is the first to be the subject of articles of impeachment passed by the United States House of Representatives between market creation and December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Articles of impeachment passed against any individual not listed in this market will not be considered. In the event that articles of impeachment are passed against multiple listed individuals simultaneously, this market will resolve in favor of the listed individual, among those with articles of impeachment passed against them, whose last name is first in alphabetical order. In the event that none of the listed individuals is impeached by the United States House of Representatives by December 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
確定方法
確定までの流れ
マーケット終了後、3日の異議申立期間が始まります。異議がなければ報酬は自動で分配されます。
- 作成日
- 2026年10月19日
- 確定日
- 2028年1月1日