Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?

60日5時間

確率 48%

取引量
$1.6万
流動性
$2661.1
終了日
2027年1月1日
価格履歴

説明

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

確定方法

確定までの流れ

マーケット終了後、3日の異議申立期間が始まります。異議がなければ報酬は自動で分配されます。

作成日
2026年10月23日
確定日
2027年1月1日