
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Шанс 10 %
- Объём
- $3,6 млн
- Ликвидность
- $201,7 тыс.
- Окончание
- 1 янв. 2028 г.
Описание
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Как разрешается
Процесс разрешения
После окончания рынка начинается период оспаривания 3 дня. Если споров нет, выплаты распределяются автоматически.
- Создан
- 19 окт. 2026 г.
- Дата разрешения
- 1 янв. 2028 г.