
欧盟将在2027年前解体?
2% 概率
- 交易量
- $18.8万
- 流动性
- $4万
- 结束
- 2027年1月1日
描述
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union (EU) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The European Union will be considered to be dissolved if any of the following conditions are met: 1) More than half of the EU member states (as of market creation) formally withdraw from the EU. 2) An official treaty or agreement is adopted between all EU member states to repeal or nullify the Treaty on European Union or the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. 3) The European Union otherwise ceases to exist as a legal entity. EU member states will be considered to have withdrawn once they officially initiate their withdrawal and/or formally notify the European Council of their intention to withdraw, regardless of whether the withdrawal is finalized after this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Union and EU member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
结算方式
结算流程
市场结束后进入 3天 的异议期。若无人提出异议,奖励将自动分配。
- 创建于
- 2026年7月30日
- 结算日期
- 2027年1月1日