November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

57天11小时
交易量
$4292.5
结束
2026年12月29日
价格历史
结果
结果概率买入
88%
12%
<1%
<1%

描述

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for November 2026 versus the data points available for all other Novembers on record. Note: If November 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for November 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

结算方式

结算流程

市场结束后进入 3天 的异议期。若无人提出异议,奖励将自动分配。

创建于
2026年10月31日
结算日期
2026年12月29日