US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

58天6小时

2% 概率

交易量
$2万
流动性
$4723.3
结束
2027年1月1日
价格历史

描述

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

结算方式

结算流程

市场结束后进入 3天 的异议期。若无人提出异议,奖励将自动分配。

创建于
2026年10月18日
结算日期
2027年1月1日