美国是否承认礼萨·巴勒维为伊朗领导人?

美国是否承认礼萨·巴勒维为伊朗领导人?

2026年

60天6小时

3% 概率

交易量
$67.2万
流动性
$3.3万
结束
2027年1月1日
价格历史

描述

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

结算方式

结算流程

市场结束后进入 3天 的异议期。若无人提出异议,奖励将自动分配。

创建于
2026年7月30日
结算日期
2027年1月1日