Question 1

What weather events can I predict?

Accepted Answer

Trade on temperature records, precipitation totals, hurricane landfall predictions, snowfall amounts, and extreme weather events. Markets cover both short-term forecasts and seasonal outlooks.

Question 2

How are weather markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Weather markets resolve using official data from NOAA, National Weather Service, or equivalent meteorological agencies. We use official observation stations and verified data sources.

Question 3

Can I predict hurricane outcomes?

Accepted Answer

Yes, during hurricane season we offer markets on storm intensity, landfall locations, and impact predictions. Markets resolve based on official NHC (National Hurricane Center) data.

Question 4

How accurate are weather prediction markets?

Accepted Answer

Weather prediction markets can aggregate information from multiple forecasting models, local observers, and expert traders. They often provide useful probabilistic forecasts complementing traditional weather models.

Question 5

Are there long-term climate markets?

Accepted Answer

We offer markets on seasonal forecasts (El Nino/La Nina), annual temperature rankings, and multi-month precipitation outlooks using official climate monitoring agencies for resolution.

Weather预测市场