France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?

425 ي 6 س

احتمال 9‎%‎

الحجم
$19.5 ألف
السيولة
$10.1 ألف
ينتهي
1 يناير 2028
سجل الأسعار

الوصف

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the French government fails to make a scheduled payment on any French government note, bond, or bill at any point between market creation and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any French sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the French Treasury (Agence France Trésor), Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.

كيف تُحسم

آلية الحسم

عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.

تاريخ الإنشاء
21 أكتوبر 2026
تاريخ الحسم
1 يناير 2028