
Plague pandemic in 2026?
احتمال 2%
- الحجم
- $512.2 ألف
- السيولة
- $64.7 ألف
- ينتهي
- 1 يناير 2027
الوصف
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
كيف تُحسم
آلية الحسم
عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.
- تاريخ الإنشاء
- 18 أكتوبر 2026
- تاريخ الحسم
- 1 يناير 2027