U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?

425 ي 1 س

احتمال 30‎%‎

الحجم
$1.1 ألف
السيولة
$22.4 ألف
ينتهي
1 يناير 2028
سجل الأسعار

الوصف

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

كيف تُحسم

آلية الحسم

عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.

تاريخ الإنشاء
29 أكتوبر 2026
تاريخ الحسم
1 يناير 2028