
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2027?
احتمال 8%
- الحجم
- $1.3 ألف
- السيولة
- $1.7 ألف
- ينتهي
- 1 يوليو 2027
الوصف
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from NATO or provides an official notice of denunciation to NATO by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty. A country's exit from NATO’s integrated military command structure will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". That country must either withdraw or submit a notice of denunciation to trigger a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and NATO, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
كيف تُحسم
آلية الحسم
عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.
- تاريخ الإنشاء
- 30 أكتوبر 2026
- تاريخ الحسم
- 1 يوليو 2027