Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

165 ي 11 س

احتمال 7‎%‎

الحجم
$4.8 ألف
السيولة
$15 ألف
ينتهي
19 أبريل 2027
سجل الأسعار

الوصف

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in France on April 18, 2027, with a second round on May 2, 2027. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French government, specifically the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) (https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/).

كيف تُحسم

آلية الحسم

عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.

تاريخ الإنشاء
19 أكتوبر 2026
تاريخ الحسم
19 أبريل 2027