Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?

59 ي 2 س

احتمال 47‎%‎

الحجم
$36.2 ألف
السيولة
$1.7 ألف
ينتهي
31 ديسمبر 2026
سجل الأسعار

الوصف

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

كيف تُحسم

آلية الحسم

عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.

تاريخ الإنشاء
18 أكتوبر 2026
تاريخ الحسم
31 ديسمبر 2026