
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?
احتمال 2%
- الحجم
- $9.4 ألف
- السيولة
- $6.6 ألف
- ينتهي
- 1 يناير 2027
الوصف
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
كيف تُحسم
آلية الحسم
عند انتهاء السوق تبدأ فترة طعن مدتها 3 يوم. إن لم يطعن أحد تُوزَّع المكافآت تلقائيًا.
- تاريخ الإنشاء
- 18 أكتوبر 2026
- تاريخ الحسم
- 1 يناير 2027