Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

60d 8h

4% chance

Volume
$2.4M
Liquidity
$56.9K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Jul 30, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027