Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

60d 12h

1% chance

Volume
$2M
Liquidity
$21.1K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Jul 30, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027