Iran Nuke before 2027?
60d 11h
4% chance
- Volume
- $1.5M
- Liquidity
- $106K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Price history
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Jul 30, 2026
- Resolution date
- Jan 1, 2027