NATO article 5 before 2027?
60d 10h
4% chance
- Volume
- $304K
- Liquidity
- $17.8K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2027
Price history
Description
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Jul 30, 2026
- Resolution date
- Jan 1, 2027