Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?

Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?

60d 12h

14% chance

Volume
$5.1K
Liquidity
$608.3
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 18, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027