U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea by December 31, 2027?
425d 1h
30% chance
- Volume
- $1.2K
- Liquidity
- $22.5K
- Ends
- Jan 1, 2028
Price history
Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Oct 29, 2026
- Resolution date
- Jan 1, 2028