Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

60d 10h

15% chance

Volume
$26.3K
Liquidity
$723.3
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any court in the United States issues a ruling that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of votes occurred in at least one US state during the 2020 United States Presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ruling is defined as any written order, judgement, opinion, or decision, including per curiam opinions, summary orders and sua sponte rulings issued by a relevant court. Unwritten oral rulings, tentative rulings, settlements, orders to show cause, or other procedures which do not constitute a finalized ruling will not count. A qualifying ruling of fraud must find that widespread, intentional voter fraud or vote-manipulation occured during the 2020 United States Presidential election. Procedural irregularities, administrative errors, or isolated rulings on individual cases of voter fraud will not count. The primary resolution source will be official information from the relevant court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 18, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027