Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign a final peace treaty by December 31, 2028?

Will Armenia and Azerbaijan sign a final peace treaty by December 31, 2028?

790d 15h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if the governments of Armenia and Azerbaijan formally sign a bilateral peace treaty (signature, not just initialling or agreeing the text) between market creation and December 31, 2028, as confirmed by official statements from either government or consensus reporting by major wire services (Reuters, AP, AFP). Ratification is not required. Otherwise resolves No.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028