Will Eritrea's Colluli potash mine begin production by end of 2028?

Will Eritrea's Colluli potash mine begin production by end of 2028?

790d 23h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, by December 31, 2028, the Colluli Mining Share Company, its shareholders, or the Government of Eritrea announces first commercial production of potash (sulphate of potash) at the Colluli project. Resolves No otherwise. Construction milestones or trial runs without commercial production do not count. Resolution source: official company/government statements or major industry/wire reporting.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028