Will Gabon delay its planned 2029 ban on raw manganese exports?
790d 23h
50% chance
- Ends
- Dec 31, 2028
Price history
Description
Resolves Yes if, between market creation and December 31, 2028, the Government of Gabon officially announces a postponement, suspension or cancellation of its planned ban on raw manganese exports (scheduled to take effect by 2029). Resolves No if no such announcement is made by that date. Resolution source: Government of Gabon official statements and major wire services (Reuters, AFP, Bloomberg).
How it resolves
Resolution process
When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.
- Created
- Oct 16, 2026
- Resolution date
- Dec 31, 2028