Will gas from Venezuela's Dragon field reach Trinidad by end of 2028?

Will gas from Venezuela's Dragon field reach Trinidad by end of 2028?

791d 0h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, between now and December 31, 2028, Shell, Trinidad's National Gas Company (NGC) or the Government of Trinidad and Tobago announces first commercial gas delivery from the Venezuelan Dragon field to Trinidad and Tobago. Resolves No otherwise. Trinidad's energy ministry has targeted first gas in Q4 2027, but full development still needs a further US OFAC licence.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028