Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

60d 9h

14% chance

Volume
$64.6K
Liquidity
$17.6K
Ends
Jan 1, 2027
Price history

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Jul 30, 2026
Resolution date
Jan 1, 2027