Will Guatemala win an investment-grade credit rating by end of 2028?

Will Guatemala win an investment-grade credit rating by end of 2028?

790d 22h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, between now and December 31, 2028, S&P Global Ratings, Moody's or Fitch Ratings assigns Guatemala a long-term foreign-currency sovereign rating of investment grade (BBB- or Baa3 or higher). Resolves No otherwise. As of mid-2026, all three agencies rated Guatemala one notch below investment grade. The resolution source is the agencies' official rating actions.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028