Will Hungary join the ERM II exchange rate mechanism by December 31, 2028?

Will Hungary join the ERM II exchange rate mechanism by December 31, 2028?

790d 21h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, by December 31, 2028, the Hungarian forint officially enters the Exchange Rate Mechanism II, as announced by the ECB / Eurogroup and the parties to the ERM II agreement. Resolves No otherwise. Statements of intent, target dates or convergence plans do not count.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028