Will Lesotho Highlands Phase II deliver water to South Africa by end of 2028?

Will Lesotho Highlands Phase II deliver water to South Africa by end of 2028?

790d 23h

50% chance

Ends
Dec 31, 2028
Price history

Description

Resolves Yes if, by December 31, 2028, the Lesotho Highlands Development Authority (LHDA) or the Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority announces that water from Phase II (Polihali Dam and transfer tunnel) has begun flowing to South Africa's Vaal system. Resolves No otherwise. Dam completion or impoundment alone does not count. Resolution source: LHDA / TCTA official announcements.

How it resolves

Resolution process

When the market ends, a 3 days dispute period begins. If no one disputes, rewards are distributed automatically.

Created
Oct 16, 2026
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2028